Wednesday, January 21, 2009

And now ... my picks for the Oscar nominations!

I will go into more details later about what films I've seen and what I think about them. But here's what and who I think will earn Oscar nominations tomorrow morning:

BEST PICTURE:
"The Dark Knight" -- yes, I think it will make it in. :-)
"Milk"
"Slumdog Millionaire"
"Frost/Nixon"
"The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" -- although I think this film has lost a lot of steam. If one of the early frontrunners gets left out for say, "WALL-E"  or "The Wrestler," I think it will be this film.

BEST DIRECTOR
Danny Boyle - "Slumdog Millionaire"
Christopher Nolan - "The Dark Knight"
Gus Van Sant - "Milk"
Ron Howard - "Frost/Nixon"
Andrew Stanton - "WALL-E" - I think this will be one of the surprise nominations...their consolation prize for the film not getting a BP nod (like Paul Greengrass for "United 93"). Despite his DGA nod, I think Fincher is weak enough to get knocked out.

BEST ACTOR
Sean Penn - "Milk"
Frank Langella - "Frost/Nixon"
Mickey Rourke - "The Wrestler"
Clint Eastwood - "Gran Torino" - because they have to nominate him for SOMETHING!
Richard Jenkins - "The Visitor" - Jenkins is a veteran actor that's been around the block. His performance has gotten buzz, and the "Benjamin Button" fade out will be enough to take Brad Pitt out of the running.

BEST ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway - "Rachel Getting Married"
Meryl Streep - "Doubt"
Sally Hawkins  - "Happy Go Lucky"
Angelina Jolie - "Changeling"
Kate Winslet - "The Reader" - AMPAS will ignore "Revolutionary Road" and bump her up to lead for this performance.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (Does it even matter, really?)
Heath Ledger - "The Dark Knight" - They should have sent the Oscar to his family last summer!
Josh Brolin  - "Milk" - personally, I think James Franco deserves it more.
Phillip Seymour Hoffman - "Doubt"
Robert Downey, Jr. - "Tropic Thunder"
Dev Patel - "Slumdog Millionaire" - The "Slumdog" love will carry him over for this nom.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz  - "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
Viola Davis - "Doubt"
Marisa Tomei - "The Wrestler"
Taraji P. Henson - "...Benjamin Button" - The "Button" backlash won't rub off on her. People like her performance and like HER.
Rosemarie DeWitt - "Rachel Getting Married" - She will be the other SHOCKER acting nomination, with Winslet's absence in this category letting her sneak in (and it will be deserved).

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"...Benjamin Button"
"Doubt"
"Frost/Nixon"
"The Dark Knight"
"Slumdog Millionaire"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
"Milk"
"Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
"The Wrestler"
"Burn After Reading"
"Rachel Getting Married"

We'll see how right I am in less than 10 hours!




2 comments:

  1. I wouldn't count "Button" out yet... of course, if there was any justice "Silent Choices" would be up for best doc.

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  2. I'm very late...and you're very sweet!

    ReplyDelete